Volatility vs Risk

Market risk is potential loss in financial markets despite diversification and volatility is change price range of assets.
Volatility vs Risk
3 min
12-August-2024

Market Risk refers to the chance of losing money in financial markets, even if you've spread your investments across different assets. Volatility, on the other hand, reflects the extent of price changes in a single security or a group of securities. While assessing market risk can be challenging, volatility is frequently and readily quantified. In finance, both volatility and risk are important concepts. Though they are often used interchangeably, they have distinct characteristic features. To learn the differences between volatility and risk, let us start by exploring what they are and their basic characteristic features.

What is volatility?

In finance, volatility refers to the extent of price fluctuation of stocks and other financial securities over a certain period of time. It helps you gauge the unpredictability or stability of that security within the short term or within a timeframe. You can get insight into market dynamics by quantifying the extent of price swings.

What is risk?

Risk refers to the potential for loss in financial security (such as stock) when you invest in it. If you do not get the expected returns from your investment, you may also call it a risk. This is because there is an element of uncertainty about not achieving your expected returns.

There are multifarious factors associated with risks such as:

  1. Market volatility
  2. Economic conditions
  3. Company performance

When you evaluate the risk of a stock or other investment opportunities, it involves the assessment of both the actual and the likelihood of impact of the associated factors on the outcome of your investment.

Difference between volatility and risk

By now, we know the basics of what volatility and risk are and how they are related. Now. let us check what their differences are.

What are they?

  • In simple words, volatility measures the extent of a stock’s price movements in a short time or within a time frame.
  • Risk, on the other hand, measures the probability of not achieving the expected ROI or making a loss from investing.

How to measure them?

  • You can measure volatility by using quantitative statistical measures such as standard deviation and Beta.
  • The most common quantitative measures of risk analyses are:
    • EMV (Expected Monetary Value) risk analysis
    • Decision tree risk analysis
    • Sensitivity risk analysis
    • Monte Carlo risk analysis
  • Some of the factors that are considered for risk assessment are:
    • Fundamentals of a company
    • Economic trends
    • Market conditions

What is the scope?

The scope of volatility is limited to only price movements in a time period.

  • In the case of risk, the scope ranges from operational, liquidity, investment outcomes, and credit.

Parameters

Volatility

Risk

Definition

Measures the degree of variation in the price of a stock over a short period.

Measures the probability of not achieving the expected return on investment or experiencing a loss.

Measurement

Uses quantitative statistical measures like:

a) Standard deviation (how much the price varies from its average) and

b) Beta (a measure of how much the stock's price moves relative to the market).

Uses methods such as:

  • EMV (Expected Monetary Value) that calculates average expected returns considering different outcomes.

  • Decision tree risk analysis, which evaluates the decisions and their risks using a visual model.

  • Sensitivity risk analysis that determines how changes in one variable affect overall outcomes.

  • Monte Carlo risk analysis, which uses simulations to evaluate risk and uncertainty.

Factors

Mainly driven by the stock's price fluctuations. These are influenced by various market factors but are measured directly.

Influenced by factors such as the:

  • Company's financial health

  • Economic trends

  • Market conditions

Scope

Focuses specifically on price movements of a stock over a certain period of time.

Broader in scope as it covers various types of risk, such as:

  • Operational

  • Liquidity

  • Investment outcomes

  • Credit risk


Similarities between volatility and risk

By now, we know the basics of what volatility and risk are and how they are related. Now. let us check what their similarities are.

  • Impact on market
    By far we know that risk and volatility influence your investment decisions. However, it is not restricted to your decisions on investment only. There are other influences too. Volatility and risk effects:
    • Sentiment of investor
    • Prices of securities (such as stocks and bonds) and other assets
    • The behaviour of the market

  • Element of uncertainty
    The foundation of both the concepts of volatility and risk are uncertainties about the future. The uncertainty can be:
    • The potential to make a loss (which is the concept of risk)
    • The extent of price fluctuations (which is nothing but volatility)

Is it right to differentiate between volatility and risk?

Yes, it is very important to know the difference between volatility and risk because it will help you, as an investor, to navigate markets effectively.

This will help you manage your risks accordingly. It will enable you to plan your investment strategies as per associated risks and create a diversified portfolio on the basis of your risk tolerance level and objectives of investment.

When you create a diversified portfolio to strike a balance between volatility and risk, you achieve a decent return by managing your risks.

In the world of finance, four things help you by differentiating between volatility and risk are:

  • Precision in analysis
  • Personalised strategies
  • Informed decision-making
  • Effective management of risk

How to manage risk?

To effectively manage investment risk, it is important for investors to understand two key strategies: asset allocation and diversification. Let’s study them in detail:

Asset allocation is the strategy of spreading your investments across different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, and real estate. This approach balances potential risks and returns by adjusting the mix of assets according to your:

  • Personal risk tolerance
    and
  • Investment goals

For example, if you’re more risk-averse, you might allocate a larger portion of your portfolio to safer assets like bonds. On the other hand, if you’re willing to take on more risk to earn higher returns, you might invest more in stocks.

As a tip, you must regularly review and adjust your asset allocation. This constant adjustment ensures that your portfolio remains aligned with your risk tolerance and financial objectives.

Now, diversification involves investing in a wide range of securities and asset classes that don’t move in sync with each other. By holding different types of investments, you reduce the risk that the poor performance of one asset will significantly impact your overall portfolio.

For example, if you invest in various sectors or geographic regions, the gains in some investments can offset losses in others.

Primarily, this strategy smooths out the fluctuations in the value of your portfolio. This way, you get more stable returns over time.

How to manage volatility?

A practical approach to managing volatility is to “ride it out.” This strategy is usually favoured by long-term investors who choose to ignore short-term price fluctuations and hold onto their investments. The idea is that short-term volatility is less important for long-term growth.

By staying invested, you avoid selling assets at a loss due to temporary market drops. This way, you also eliminate the chance of missing out on future gains. Moreover, by following such a "buy-and-hold" strategy, you can avoid the common mistake of trying to time the market, which often leads to poor decisions and financial losses.

It is worth mentioning that volatility also presents opportunities for informed investors. That’s because market volatility reflects changes in investor sentiment rather than the intrinsic value of assets. This creates a chance to buy undervalued stocks at lower prices. Now, if you have a good understanding of an asset’s fundamental value, you can:

  • Take advantage of such price drops
    and
  • Make strategic purchases

However, it’s important to carefully evaluate whether the lower price represents a real investment opportunity or just a temporary market fluctuation.

How to cope with risk and volatility?

To effectively manage risk while dealing with volatility, you must adopt a well-rounded strategy. As a first step, you must understand that volatility is a natural part of investing. Following this ideology, you must not let short-term market fluctuations disrupt your investment strategy. Instead, focus on a long-term approach so that you can use volatility to your advantage. One method to do this is dollar-cost averaging.

In this method, you keep investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of market conditions. Through this strategy, you can:

  • Buy more shares when prices are low
    and
  • Fewer shares when prices are high.

This way, you can reduce volatility's impact on your overall investment. Another key approach is diversification. By spreading your investments across different asset classes (stocks, bonds, and real estate), you can reduce your portfolio's overall volatility.

It is worth mentioning that diversification works well because different assets often react differently to market events. For example, when stock prices fall, bond prices rise. This relationship balances out potential losses.

Moreover, it is important to identify and manage real risks. To do so, you must set clear financial goals, such as:

  • Planning for retirement
    or
  • Saving for your children's education

Such clarity helps you better understand the risks associated with not achieving these goals. You can also prioritise and determine which goals are most important. For example, if retirement is a top priority, you might allocate more resources to retirement savings.

Lastly, you must maintain some of your savings in “cash”. That’s because it provides flexibility during uncertain times. Also, cash reserves prevent you from having to sell investments at a loss to cover expenses or debt. With sufficient cash, you can even take advantage of market dips by buying assets at discounted prices.

Final words

You should learn the difference between volatility and risk because it helps you understand the dynamics of the market in a better way. It helps you create a more diversified portfolio that lowers your associated risks, on the one hand, and gives you a decent return, on the other.

If you want to invest in mutual funds, you should first start by browsing through thousands of listed mutual funds on online platforms such as Bajaj Finserv Mutual Fund Platform. Once you have chosen multiple mutual fund schemes, you should compare mutual funds, and calculate on either the SIP Calculator or Lumpsum Calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between volatile and risky?
The biggest difference between volatility and risk is their definition. While volatility refers to the price movements of financial assets, risk can refer to the extent of uncertainty regarding liquidity, business, and others.
Why does volatility equal risk?

In the short term, volatility is equal to risk. In a tumultuous market condition, your entire investment can get eroded if a price swing happens against your intended price movement.

How are volatility and risk related in an investment?
Too much volatility can lead to uncertainty in your investment, especially if you are investing for the short term. That’s how volatility and risk are related.
Does high volatility mean high risk?
Yes, high volatility means high risk because unfavourable movement of price can deplete your entire investment in the short run.
What is volatility vs liquidity risk?
Liquidity risk arises if you are unable to enter or exit the financial market easily. This means there are less number of buyers and sellers in the market. Volatility risk, on the other hand, increases when the price of a financial asset (such as stock) changes quickly in quick succession.
How is risk defined in financial terms?

In financial terms, risk is the chance of losing money or not achieving the expected return on an investment. It varies depending on an investor's tolerance for financial uncertainty. It must be noted that risk is different from volatility (a measure of how much prices fluctuate). That’s because it is more personal and psychological. It considers how much uncertainty an investor can handle.

How is volatility measured?

Volatility is measured by looking at how much a stock's price or market index fluctuates over time. One common method is calculating the difference between the highest and lowest returns during a specific period.

However, analysts mostly use standard deviation, which shows how much the returns deviate from the average return. It focuses on both the high and low fluctuations. Using standard deviation, investors and analysts easily understand the extent of price swings in a more detailed manner.

Can risk be measured like volatility?

Risk cannot be measured in the same way as volatility. That’s because it involves personal factors rather than just numerical data. While volatility is quantified using metrics like standard deviation, risk is more about an individual’s comfort level with financial uncertainty. Also, risk tolerance varies from person to person and is often determined through personal experience with market ups and downs. Unlike volatility, which can be precisely calculated, risk is subjective. It depends on how an investor feels about future losses and uncertainties.

How does age affect risk and volatility?

Age impacts how investors handle risk and volatility. Younger investors have more time to recover from market ups and downs and are often less concerned with short-term fluctuations. Ideally, they should focus on long-term gains by taking higher risks as they have decades to weather market changes.

On the other hand, older investors approaching retirement are more sensitive to volatility. That’s because they have less time to recover from losses if incurred. Hence, for them, preserving their investments is more important. They should remain more cautious about market swings.

Are financial markets the only sectors with risk and volatility?

No, risk and volatility aren't limited to financial markets. Other types of investments, like the Public Provident Fund (PPF) and fixed deposits, also face fluctuations. This mainly happens due to changes in interest rates. However, while these fluctuations affect the returns, they are generally more stable compared to stock market investments.losing money. Volatility in equity prices can be temporary and doesn't always translate to actual financial loss if managed properly.

How should investors cope with market volatility?

To handle market volatility, investors should first know how much risk they can tolerate and stick to it. They should avoid making hasty decisions based on short-term market swings. If market fluctuations are stressful or challenging to manage, it’s wise to stay away from highly volatile investments.

In such a scenario, the focus should instead be on more stable options. Also, investors can seek advice from financial advisors to develop a strategy that aligns with their risk tolerance and financial goals.

How can investors take advantage of market volatility?

Investors can use market volatility to their advantage by staying disciplined and sticking to their investment strategy. This can be done by choosing a mix of assets that suits their goals. Also, investors must regularly adjust their portfolios to maintain this balance.

Volatility can create opportunities to buy undervalued assets or sell overvalued ones at favourable prices. Hence, by taking a strategic approach, investors can increase their returns even when the market fluctuates.

What is the relationship between volatility and risk of loss?

Volatility measures “how much” and “how quickly” the price of an investment changes. It doesn’t always mean there’s a risk of losing money. High volatility just shows that prices are rapidly fluctuating both upwards and downwards. On the other hand, the risk of loss shows the possibility of actually losing money.

What is the importance of understanding volatility for equity investing?

By understanding volatility in equity investing, investors can determine how much a stock's price might fluctuate. This helps them choose investments that align with their risk appetite. For example, risk-averse investors often prefer diversified portfolios to reduce price swings, while those willing to take on more risk invest in more volatile stocks that can offer higher returns.

How should investors respond to market rallies and declines?

When the market is rising, investors can choose to increase their investments by adding more to their Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs). This strategy helps in taking advantage of the gains. However, during market declines, it's important not to panic and sell off investments hastily. Instead, investors should stick to their long-term strategy and remain consistent.

By maintaining a steady approach and avoiding emotional reactions, investors can better manage market volatility and benefit from both market rallies and declines.

What is the key to successful investing in volatile markets?

Investors should look for new opportunities to succeed in volatile markets. They must ensure that their investments match their comfort level with risk. It is worth mentioning that even though some investments might be more unpredictable, they can offer higher returns if handled correctly.

Hence, it’s important to choose investments that align with your risk tolerance. By sticking to a well-thought-out strategy, investors can benefit from market fluctuations.

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Bajaj Finance Limited (“BFL”) is an NBFC offering loans, deposits and third-party wealth management products.

The information contained in this article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute any financial advice. The content herein has been prepared by BFL on the basis of publicly available information, internal sources and other third-party sources believed to be reliable. However, BFL cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information, assure its completeness, or warrant such information will not be changed. 

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