Overview of the undervalued stocks for 2024
1. Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd
- Founded in 1921 as 'Nadar Bank Limited' and renamed in 1962
- Headquarters: Thoothukudi, Tamil Nadu
- Network: 369 branches, 941 ATMs, and 238 CRMs (as of 30th June 2021)
- Net income growth: 32.9% annually over 5 years, above industry average of 31.6%
2. Godawari Power and Ispat Ltd
- Flagship of Raipur-based Hira Group of Industries
- Focus: Long product segment in steel, notably mild steel wire
- Revenue growth: 10.88% yearly over 5 years, exceeding the 9.97% industry average
- Market share: Increased from 0.62% to 0.71%
3. Can Fin Homes Ltd
- Founded: 29 October 1987 in partnership with Canara Bank, HDFC, and UTI
- Purpose: To promote housing ownership in India
- Revenue growth: 15.28% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 1.5%
- Market share: Increased from 1.05% to 6.65%
4. ICICI Securities Ltd
- Established: 1995 as a financial marketplace
- Services: Investment, trading, wealth management, and loans
- Revenue growth: 23.95% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 11.41%
- Market share: Increased from 5.03% to 8.01%
5. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
- Established: 18 May 2005, NBFC under RBI Act, 1934
- Revenue growth: 23.7% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 11.19%
- Market share: Increased from 2.58% to 5.32%
6. Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd
- Major seller of lignite in India
- Products: Lignite, bauxite, calcined bauxite, and fluorspar
- Revenue growth: 6.17% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 5.6%
- Market share: Increased from 7.99% to 8.21%
7. Angel One Ltd
- Established: 1996 as Angel Broking Limited
- India’s largest listed full-service retail broking house with over 13.8 million clients
- Revenue growth: 40.24% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 11.41%
- Market share: Increased from 2.3% to 6.79%
8. eClerx Services Limited
- Founded: 24 March 2000, became public in August 2007
- Services: Data analytics, process solutions, metrics management
- Revenue growth: 15.12% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 6.18%
- Market share: Increased from 11.28% to 16.9%
9. Five-Star Business Finance Ltd
- Founded: 7 May 1984, non-banking financial institution
- Revenue growth: 15.12% yearly over 5 years, above industry average of 6.18%
- Market share: Increased from 11.28% to 16.9%
What are undervalued stocks?
Undervalued stocks are shares priced below their estimated intrinsic worth. This price disparity can arise from several factors, such as industry-specific challenges, economic conditions, or broader market downturns.
For example, consider Company X, whose shares trade at Rs. 800, while analysts assess the intrinsic value to be Rs. 1500. This lower valuation indicates that Company X’s stock may have significant potential for growth, given the market stabilises or economic conditions improve.
Investing in undervalued stocks is a strategy called value investing, a concept introduced by Benjamin Graham and later popularised by his notable disciple, Warren Buffett.
What are the factors on which the intrinsic value of stocks depends?
Factors influencing the intrinsic value of stocks are crucial considerations for investors seeking undervalued opportunities. These factors help investors gauge whether a stock is trading below its true worth. Here are some key factors to consider:
1. Price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio)
The price-to-earnings ratio is one of the most widely used metrics for evaluating the valuation of a stock. It is calculated by dividing the current market price per share by the earnings per share (EPS). A low P/E ratio relative to the industry average or historical P/E ratios of the company may indicate that the stock is undervalued. However, it is essential to consider other factors alongside the P/E ratio to get a comprehensive understanding of the stock's value.
2. Price-to-book ratio (P/B ratio)
The price-to-book ratio compares a company's market value to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the market price per share by the book value per share. A P/B ratio less than 1 may indicate that the stock is undervalued, implying that the market price is lower than the company's net assets' value. However, similar to the P/E ratio, it is important to consider other factors alongside the P/B ratio.
3. Free cash flow
Free cash flow is the cash generated by a company after accounting for capital expenditures necessary to maintain or expand its asset base. Positive free cash flow indicates that a company has excess cash available after covering its operating expenses and capital expenditures. Companies with consistent and growing free cash flow are often considered more valuable and may be undervalued if their stock prices do not reflect this financial strength.
4. Debt-to-equity ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its shareholders' equity. A high debt-to-equity ratio indicates that a company relies heavily on debt financing, which can increase financial risk. However, a low debt-to-equity ratio may indicate that the company is conservatively financed and potentially undervalued if the market fails to recognise the strength of its balance sheet.
Considering these factors alongside other fundamental and qualitative aspects of the business can help investors identify undervalued stocks with the potential for long-term growth and capital appreciation. However, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making investment decisions and to consider the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market.
Features of undervalued stocks
- Priced below intrinsic value: Undervalued stocks are those trading below their true value, presenting value investors with an opportunity to acquire shares at a price lower than suggested by financial indicators. These stocks offer growth prospects at a discounted rate.
- Growth potential with lower investment: A distinct feature of undervalued stocks is their potential for upward price adjustment. Investors can purchase these shares at a reduced rate, aiming to benefit as the market realigns to their intrinsic value.
- Strong fundamentals: Often, undervalued stocks, particularly in robust sectors like IT, maintain strong fundamentals. Many undervalued IT stocks in India, for example, possess resilient business models and consistent earnings, indicating a readiness for growth despite current undervaluation.
- Low risk in established companies: Undervalued large-cap stocks in India offer a blend of stability and growth potential. Large-cap companies with established track records are typically less volatile, making them appealing to conservative investors seeking low-risk growth opportunities.
- Appealing to long-term investors: Long-term investors frequently pursue top undervalued stocks in India, as these stocks can yield substantial returns once the market corrects the price disparity.
Who should invest in undervalued stocks?
Investing in undervalued stocks can be a strategic choice for certain types of investors who have specific investment goals or preferences. Here are some points outlining who should consider investing in undervalued stocks:
1. Value investors
- Value investors seek stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value, often identified through fundamental analysis.
- They look for companies with strong fundamentals, such as low P/E ratios, high free cash flow, or low debt levels, which are not fully reflected in their current stock prices.
- Value investors aim to buy these stocks at a discount and hold them until their true worth is recognised by the market, potentially yielding capital appreciation over time.
2. Long-term investors
- Investors with a long-term investment horizon may find undervalued stocks appealing, as they have the patience to wait for the market to recognise the stock's true value.
- By holding undervalued stocks over the long term, investors can benefit from potential price appreciation as the market corrects its mispricing.
3. Contrarian investors
- Contrarian investors thrive on going against the prevailing market sentiment.
- They actively seek out undervalued stocks that are out of favour with the market but have strong underlying fundamentals.
- Contrarian investors believe that the market often overreacts to news or events, leading to mispricings that they can exploit for profit.
4. Risk-tolerant investors
- Investing in undervalued stocks may involve higher levels of risk compared to investing in more established or growth-oriented companies.
- Investors comfortable with taking on higher levels of risk in pursuit of potentially higher returns may find undervalued stocks appealing.
5. Experienced investors
- Due diligence and research are crucial when investing in undervalued stocks.
- Investors with experience in financial analysis and a deep understanding of the stock market may be better equipped to identify undervalued opportunities and assess their potential risks and rewards accurately.
6. Diversified portfolios
- Adding undervalued stocks to a diversified investment portfolio can help mitigate overall portfolio risk.
- By including undervalued stocks alongside other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, investors can potentially enhance portfolio returns while reducing volatility.
Advantages and disadvantages of undervalued stocks
Advantages of undervalued stock
- Potential for capital appreciation: Undervalued stocks have the potential to increase in value as market forces correct the pricing inefficiency, allowing investors to profit from capital appreciation.
- Margin of safety: Investing in undervalued stocks provides a margin of safety, as the market price is below the intrinsic value, reducing the downside risk for investors.
Disadvantages of undervalued stock
- Value traps: Not all undervalued stocks realise their true worth, and some may remain undervalued or decline further due to fundamental weaknesses or unfavourable market conditions, trapping investors in value traps.
- Volatility: Undervalued stocks are often subject to heightened volatility as market sentiment and investor perceptions fluctuate, potentially leading to significant price swings in the short term.
Conclusion
Undervalued stocks present enticing opportunities for investors to potentially capitalise on market inefficiencies and achieve above-average returns. However, investing in undervalued stocks requires careful consideration of factors affecting intrinsic value, thorough research, and a disciplined investment approach. By understanding the factors, advantages, and disadvantages of undervalued stocks, investors can make informed decisions to navigate the complexities of the securities market and achieve their investment objectives.
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