Impact of Inflation on Price of Gold

Learn how inflation affects gold prices and its influence on over precious metals.
Impact of Inflation on Price of Gold
2 mins
10 February 2025

What is inflation?

Inflation is the rise in prices of goods and services over time, making things more expensive. For instance, if last year a shirt cost Rs. 500, this year it might be Rs. 550 due to inflation. It means the value of money decreases, so you can buy less with the same amount. In India, we use the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to measure inflation. CPI checks how much prices have changed for things like food, housing, transport, and healthcare. When CPI keeps going up over time, it shows inflation is increasing.

Causes and impact of inflation

Inflation, the gradual increase in prices of goods and services over time, is influenced by various factors and has significant impacts on economies and individuals alike.

Causes of inflation include:

  1. Demand-pull inflation: When demand for goods and services exceeds their supply, prices rise due to increased competition for available resources.
  2. Cost-push inflation: Rising production costs, such as wages or raw materials, lead to higher prices for finished goods.
  3. Monetary factors: Expansion of the money supply by central banks through policies like quantitative easing can lead to excess money chasing the same amount of goods, resulting in inflation.
  4. External factors: Events like natural disasters or geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains and cause shortages, leading to price increases.

The impact of inflation can be both positive and negative:

Positive impacts:

  • Encourages spending and investment in the short term.
  • Reduces the real value of debt, benefiting borrowers.
  • Promotes economic growth when moderate.

Negative impacts:

  • Reduces purchasing power, leading to a decline in the standard of living for consumers.
  • Uncertainty and volatility in financial markets.
  • Can erode savings and fixed incomes, particularly affecting retirees and low-income households.

Understanding the causes and effects of inflation is crucial for policymakers, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions and mitigate its adverse effects on the economy and personal finances.

How does inflation affect gold price?

Inflation affects the price of gold in various ways. Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation because its value tends to increase when the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines due to inflationary pressures. As the general price level of goods and services rises, investors seek assets that can preserve their value over time. Gold, with its limited supply and intrinsic value, becomes more appealing during inflationary periods as a store of wealth. Additionally, central banks may implement expansionary monetary policies to counter inflation, such as reducing interest rates or engaging in quantitative easing, which can weaken fiat currencies and prompt investors to turn to gold as a safe haven asset. Overall, inflation diminishes the value of paper currencies, driving investors towards gold as a dependable store of wealth and consequently increasing its price.

Additional Read: What is the gold inflation rate 

What is the inflation ratio of gold?

The inflation ratio of gold refers to its historical performance as a hedge against inflation. Gold has long been considered a store of value and a hedge against economic uncertainty, making it an attractive investment during periods of high inflation. The inflation ratio of gold is calculated by comparing the percentage change in the price of gold to the percentage change in the general price level, as measured by a relevant inflation index such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Historically, gold has demonstrated the ability to maintain its purchasing power over time, often outperforming other assets during periods of rising inflation. Investors often turn to gold as a means of preserving wealth and protecting against the erosion of purchasing power caused by inflationary pressures.

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Frequently asked questions

Does gold price go up during inflation?

Yes, gold prices often increase during periods of inflation. Gold is considered a hedge against inflation because its value tends to rise when the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines. Investors often turn to gold as a safe haven to preserve wealth during times of economic uncertainty and rising inflation.

Why gold prices are increasing?

Gold prices may rise due to various factors, including economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and inflation fears. Increased demand for safe-haven assets, coupled with limited supply, can drive up prices. Additionally, fluctuations in currency values and central bank policies also influence gold prices.

What are the factors that affect gold price?

The price of gold is influenced by various factors, including economic stability, inflation rates, geopolitical tensions, currency movements, and RBI policies. Additionally, supply and demand dynamics, investor sentiment, and changes in interest rates also play significant roles in determining the price of gold.